Text / Notes on stock timer program called Predictor, circa 1971

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Title: Notes on stock timer program called Predictor, circa 1971
Creator: Everett, Hugh
Date Created and/or Issued: 1971
Contributing Institution: UC Irvine, Libraries, Special Collections
Collection: Hugh Everett III Manuscripts
Rights Information: Copyrighted
This material is provided for private study, scholarship, or research. Transmission or reproduction of any material protected by copyright beyond that allowed by fair use requires the written permission of the copyright owners. The authors or their heirs retain their copyrights to the material. Unless otherwise indicated, the original files were donated to the American Institute of Physics (https://history.aip.org/ead/20130435.html). For permission to publish, contact Jeffrey A. Barrett, representative for the Everett estate, j.barrett@uci.edu.
Description: Scope/Content: In the early 1970s, Hugh Everett III developed a novel approach to Bayesian filter theory intended to extract information from non-linear time series. One application that he imagined for his non-linear filters was a stock market tracker that he called "Predictor". This document describes some of the features he imagined Predictor would have. There is no evidence that he followed through on this project. He created a prototype program under a $10,000 contract to J.P. Morgan & Co. But then he refused to give it to Morgan. Instead, he used it to time the market for his own interests, but it did not work as expected.
Scope/Content: This document was found in the basement of Mark Everett in 2007 by Mark Everett and Peter Byrne.
Type: text
Identifier: ark:/81235/d81v5bt0n
http://hdl.handle.net/10575/1218
Language: English
eng
Subject: Everett, Hugh III
Game and decision theory
Software development
Relation: Hugh Everett III Research on Game Theory, Decision Theory, and Other Topics

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