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Text / Notes on stock timer program called Predictor, circa 1971

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Notes on stock timer program called Predictor, circa 1971
Everett, Hugh
Date Created and/or Issued
Contributing Institution
UC Irvine, Libraries, Digital Scholarship Services
Hugh Everett III Manuscripts
Rights Information
This material is provided for private study, scholarship, or research. Transmission or reproduction of any material protected by copyright beyond that allowed by fair use requires the written permission of the copyright owners. The authors or their heirs retain their copyrights to the material. Contact the University of California, Irvine Libraries, Special Collections and Archives for more information (
Scope/Content: In the early 1970s, Hugh Everett III developed a novel approach to Bayesian filter theory intended to extract information from non-linear time series. One application that he imagined for his non-linear filters was a stock market tracker that he called "Predictor". This document describes some of the features he imagined Predictor would have. There is no evidence that he followed through on this project. He created a prototype program under a $10,000 contract to J.P. Morgan & Co. But then he refused to give it to Morgan. Instead, he used it to time the market for his own interests, but it did not work as expected.
Scope/Content: This document was found in the basement of Mark Everett in 2007 by Mark Everett and Peter Byrne.
Everett, Hugh III
Game and decision theory
Software development
Hugh Everett III Research on Game Theory, Decision Theory, and Other Topics

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